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  • Madison Brengle (USA) vs Astra Sharma (AUS)
    at Charleston 2 WTA 250 (USA)
    Clay, Round of 16
    zaklloyd
    853 (16411) Aces +$2,002 ROI:+10.1% 60% 
    Apr 15 2021 04:26:59
    I like the look of Sharma for this.
    Expected hold based on long term clay gives her a 10% advantage and a couple of points advantage over the shorter term all surface.
    Combined 1st & 2nd service win %'s she comes out ...
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) d. Christian Garin (CHI) 6-3 6-4
    at Monte Carlo Masters 1000 (MON)
    Clay, Round of 16
    zaklloyd
    853 (16411) Aces +$2,002 ROI:+10.1% 60% 
    Apr 15 2021 04:04:03
    I'm going to have a fun bet here, just as an interest and part of an experiment I'm conducting, messing around with some numbers from the 'advanced toggle' within the 'activity' section.
    According to my sums - and these are not thoroughly tested - Garin has an outsider chance of getting something from...
  • Fabio Fognini (ITA) d. Filip Krajinovic (SRB) 6-2 7-6(1)
    at Monte Carlo Masters 1000 (MON)
    Clay, Round of 16
    zaklloyd
    853 (16411) Aces +$2,002 ROI:+10.1% 60% 
    Apr 15 2021 00:34:28
    My overall outright betting success rate has fallen off a cliff since the beginning of the Clay season, so I'm thinking with a 2 player sport, barring retirements and freak accidents, the true probability of getting a win is probably 50%, and therefore, if I'm to make some cyber-dollar long term, backing short-priced fav's is not going to cut it.
  • Clara Tauson (DEN) d. Ajla Tomljanovic (AUS) 6-1 6-4
    at Charleston 2 WTA 250 (USA)
    Clay, Round of 16
    zaklloyd
    853 (16411) Aces +$2,002 ROI:+10.1% 60% 
    Apr 14 2021 06:37:52
    I keep opposing Tomljanovic and keep getting shafted, but today is the day that it all changes.
    I've discovered the 'Toggle Advanced' tab and I'm now looking at some real numbers. This is my moment....
    [MAYBE]
    OK so here's how a novice punter see's the outcome of this match.
    Tomljanovic ...
  • Zane Khan (USA) d. Yasutaka Uchiyama (JPN) 7-6(5) 7-6(5)
    at Orlando Ch (USA)
    Hard Court, Round of 16
    Acezilla
    2133 (41800) Aces -$7,222 ROI:-4.1% 42% 
    Apr 14 2021 01:51:38
    In the last 2 years on the challenger circuit, Uchiyama has a 28-8 record on hard with close to a 90% service hold. He kno...
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