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  • Member SinceJanuary 23, 2019
  • LevelMember
  • AboutI\'m a newbie & a numbers man. Still in my first season, struggling with Clay but slowly getting to grips with everything. I don\'t play the game, I don\'t even watch the game. I live in part of the world where internet speeds are kilobytes per week, but love to watch the scoreboard all night and like to have a dabble on Betfair if & when I can.
  • Favourite PlayersMonfils, Hsieh, Konta

User Earnings (Quarter)

User Aces (Quarter)

Tip Summary: 0.00% (0/0) in last 3 months | 58.93% (33/56) in last year | 53.53% (167/312) all time

Earnings Summary: +$0.00 in last 3 months | +$359.07 in last year | +$1,062.29 all time

ROI Summary: +0.0% in last 3 months ($0.00 turnover) | +3.0% in last year ($11,955.00 turnover) | +2.1% all time ($50,582.00 turnover)

Your Insight
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  • Polona Hercog (SLO) d. Julia Goerges (GER) 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-4
    at Beijing WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 64
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 28 2019 03:53:12
    Goerges is great value here if we take into consideration she's ranked over 100 places higher than Hercog on hard. However, Hercogs 3m stats show 13% improvement over 1yr Hard, so would not be surprised to see an upset
  • Kiki Bertens (NED) d. Donna Vekic (CRO) 3-6 6-1 7-6(3)
    at Beijing WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 64
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 28 2019 03:43:11
    This should be a good match. I'd usually say that Bertens would stand a great chance but she's been letting me down lately and I do think that Vekic is good value.
    She's ranked a little higher than Bertens so should be a bit shorter.
    Both 1yr Hard and 3m All Surface stats have the pair virtually identical.
    Looks to be a three setter if Bertens can pull her finger out but I take Donna at 1.98 all day
  • Petra Kvitova (CZE) d. Dayana Yastremska (UKR) 6-2 6-4
    at Wuhan WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Quarter Final
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 26 2019 03:47:42
    Kvitove should be about 1.62 for this. I've no idea of opening price on here but based on ELO hard rankings, she's #12 v #19 for Yastremska.
    Both players have improved 3m All Surface form from 1yr Hard form, but Kvit has a 7% edge and Yastremska has an 8% below average expected return point wins.
    Could go three with two service orientated players but Kvitova should be too tough here
  • Alison Riske (USA) d. Qiang Wang (CHN) 6-2 6-1
    at Wuhan WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 16
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 25 2019 04:31:01
    Wang tends to falter a little bit with higher ranked players but Riske is not one of thos higher ranked players. She's #44 on AS [ELO} but falls to #79 on Hard. Wang on the other hand is #28 AS and #16 on Hard.
    Wang has a 13% advantage on 1yr Hard stats and 9% on 3m AS, is expected to win 6% more service points and has a 6% above average Break Back % vs -6% for Riske.
    Given the rankings and the stats and the fact that Wang performs well here, I believe she should be sub 1.30, meaning 1.50 is a great price
  • Sofia Kenin (USA) d. Elise Mertens (BEL) 4-6 6-4 7-6(5)
    at Wuhan WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 32
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 24 2019 04:12:37
    Very tough one to call. Should be match of the day!
    I give the narrowest of advantage to Kenin but won't be particpating despite her being very good value
  • Sloane Stephens (USA) d. Yafan Wang (CHN) 6-2 3-6 6-1
    at Wuhan WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 32
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 24 2019 04:04:33
    I'm trying a small one here for a few reasons.
    Stephens is playing badly
    Wang is value
    1yr Hard form favours Wang
    3m AS form favours Wang
    Just a set on her home turf shouldn't be too much to ask.
  • Petra Martic (CRO) d. Rebecca Peterson (SWE) 6-0 3-6 6-1
    at Wuhan WTA Premier (CHN)
    Hard Court, Round of 32
    0 (15558) Aces +$0 ROI:+0.0% 0% 
    Sep 24 2019 03:55:03
    Statistically, there's not much separating these two.
    Martic edges it on 1yr Hard and Peterson Edges it on 3m AS.
    Both expected to win around 60% of their service points, the Swede edging it on BP convert % and Martic edging it on Break Back Chance.
    When it comes to hard Martic loses ground to her AS ranking {ELO} and is only one spot above Peterson. This makes this a very interesting match since both players should be around the even money.
    1.70 for just a set from Peterson then becomes very attractive and should possible be as low as 1.50

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Ace Summary: Received 6595 in last year, 15558 all time - Given 165 in last year, 612 all time

Date/Time Giver Reason Amount
Date/Time Receiver Reason Amount