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User Aces (Quarter)

Tip Summary: 57.14% (8/14) in last 3 months | 45.92% (45/98) in last year | 47.69% (724/1518) all time
Earnings Summary: +$2,537.22 in last 3 months | +$8,824.59 in last year | +$12,988.70 all time
ROI Summary: +24.7% in last 3 months ($10,273.00 turnover) | +12.6% in last year ($69,807.60 turnover) | +4.4% all time ($296,440.00 turnover)

Your Insight
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  • Donald Young (USA) d. John Isner (USA) 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6)
    at Memphis ATP (USA)
    Indoor Hard, Quarter Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 18 2017 03:29:44
    Where did Isner come up with ground stro...
  • Donald Young (USA) d. John Isner (USA) 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6)
    at Memphis ATP (USA)
    Indoor Hard, Quarter Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 18 2017 01:26:14
    I like Young in this match too. The only reason I am going to refrain from punt...
  • Denis Istomin (UZB) d. Aljaz Bedene (GBR) 6-3 7-6(3)
    at Rotterdam ATP (NED)
    Indoor Hard, Round of 32
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 13 2017 15:43:14
    Call me a fish-eyed fool but I think that Istomin is playing better tennis at the moment. In other words, Istomin's form is better in my opinion; but only by a few centimeters. Istomin is the higher ranked player although that is meaningless for this particular match. Besides losing to Bedene yesterday, Istomin has only lost to Dimitrov in round 16 of the Australian Open and a puzzling loss to Christian Garin at a challenger in Bangkok during the first week in January.. I believe that when you have two players that are fairly equal in talent/skill, and they are playing back to back matches, it is a fairly difficult task for the winner of yesterday's match, to rack up another win just one day later. Normally I would be all over Istomin to win this match and back it up substantially. However, since their form is intensely close (again only my opinion) and their H2H is 1-1, I am still going with Istomin but just a light and polite wager. Good Luck All.
  • Alexander Zverev (GER) d. Richard Gasquet (FRA) 7-6(4) 6-3
    at Montpellier ATP (FRA)
    Indoor Hard, Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 12 2017 09:27:15
    I feel strongly that Zverev will be one of the top four within the next two years. Zverev has what it takes to be a Grand Slam Champion. Zverev not only has the goods but he is an exceptionally fast learner.
    Zverev lost to Gasquet at the Hoffman Cup back in January. That loss will most likely be Zverev's last loss to Gasquet for the remainder of 2017. I think that Zverev needed one warm-up match with Gasquet to learn from and he got his wish. I look for the first set in this match to be relatively close and then Zverev will take over and dominate in set 2 and if necessary, set 3.
    Gasquet has never really been a player who had a serious chance of winning a Grand Slam. However, Zverev in my opinion will soon become a familiar face in Grand Slam Final matches.
  • Gerald Melzer (AUT) d. Horacio Zeballos (ARG) 6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4)
    at Quito ATP (ECU)
    Clay, Round of 32
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 6 2017 16:19:07
    These two yawners have a H2H favoring 2-1, Zeballos won two of their matches on clay. Melzer's lone win was on a hard court.
    It is simply my opinion that Zeb is playing better tennis.
    At the Australian Open, Metzler lost in a 5 setter and in the opening round as to Alex De Minaur who was ranked 331 in the world. Zeballos lost in the opening round at the AO to Karlovic ranked 20 in the world. Zeballos played a very respectable match against a player who was serving up bbs to hit. Zeb lost in the 5th set 22-20. Zeballos also had matches just prior to the AO against Jim Vesely and Novak Djokovic. I like going with a player who recently has battled tougher competition and then faces a player who is sort of a middle of the road player (although there are certainly hundreds and hundreds of players ranked below Melzer).
    Zeb for me but I heed caution when opening your wallet for this match.
  • Dominika Cibulkova (SVK) d. Donna Vekic (CRO) 6-2 6-2
    at St. Petersburg WTA Premier (RUS)
    Indoor Hard, Round of 16
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Feb 2 2017 00:11:41
    Nearly 3 years ago, Vekic knocked off Cibulkova at the Kuala Lumpar Masters Tourney. Cibulkova was the top seed and Vekic was seeded 7th. Vekic was ranked 95th at the time and Cibulkova was ranked 5th on the WTA circuit. To be fair, one month earlier, Cibulkova whipped Vekic at Indian Wells (hard courts). Hence, their H2H stands at 1-1.
    Personally I think that Cibulkova is not at the top of her game and while Vekic bowed out of the Australia Open with a dreadful loss to Woz in the 2nd round, Cibulkova was upset in the 3rd round in a match that she would have won had she have been in form.
    The price is juicy on Vekic and well worth taking. I would not be surprised if Vekic won this match. Not in the least bit surprised.
  • Roger Federer (SUI) d. Rafael Nadal (ESP) 6-4 3-6 6-1 3-6 6-3
    at Australian Open ATP Slam (AUS)
    Hard Court, Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Jan 28 2017 21:17:43
    One more observation that I neglected to mention in my first post regarding Rafa's semi-final match with Dimitrov. Did anyone notice how Rafa kept the ball extremely deep when returning Dimitrov's ground strokes? When Rafa is not in form, he has a world of trouble driving the ball from either wing and keeping any depth on his groundies. By the way and at the moment, Rafa's game is definitely in form.
  • Roger Federer (SUI) d. Rafael Nadal (ESP) 6-4 3-6 6-1 3-6 6-3
    at Australian Open ATP Slam (AUS)
    Hard Court, Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Jan 28 2017 20:52:21
    Please note an error I made when referencing the year of the Wimbledon Final when Rafa finally captured the championship by defeating Federer. The year was 2008. I referenced that final as 2009 in one sentence and 2008 in another sentence.
  • Roger Federer (SUI) d. Rafael Nadal (ESP) 6-4 3-6 6-1 3-6 6-3
    at Australian Open ATP Slam (AUS)
    Hard Court, Final
    3002 (12294) Aces +$2,537 ROI:+24.7% 57% 
    Jan 28 2017 20:47:32
    First of all, I did a write-up on this match yesterday and did not send it (spaced out and forgot) and then my computer did an auto re-boot and I lost it.
    Having said that and having read the write-up by paulmurphy, there is no need for me to be repetitious as most of my points were covered by Paul and covered 1000% better than what I wrote. I will be brief since there is no point in re-stating most of what Paul wrote.
    Australian Open - Fed has lost all three finals to Rafa starting back in 2009, continuing in 2012 and the last loss in 2014.
    While Wimbledon is certainly not an exact comparison to the Australian Open, I will mention one match. In 2009, when Rafa finally defeated Fed in the final of the Wimbledon Grand Slam (9-7 in the 5th set and barely a hint of light for either of them to see the ball), that match changed the mental psyche of both players. Rafa became so confident that he could defeat Fed on ANY surface and Fed's psyche took a nosedive in the opposite direction. In nearly every match that they played after the 2008 final of Wimbledon, Rafa knew exactly what he had to do to keep Fed playing from a defensive position and you could see it on Fed's face everytime as the match was shifting in Rafa's favor. Fed would start hitting a ton of unforced error on his backhand side as he simply cound not fight off Rafa's vicious topspin forehand that would rise above his Fed's shoulders. Before long, Fed's reliable forehand would desert him as well and he would start shanking balls completely out of the court.
    How will Federer be able to capture the 2017 Final? Even if Federer serves better than he ever has in his career, it will not be enough. to change the outcome of this match. In the past, when so many TI members thought that Fed would get his revenge and win the final "this time for sure", the same result occurred. Another strategy for betting on Fed was after Rafa had a minor injury and had played a 5 setter in the semi-final and sometimes two 5 setters (QFs and SFs). The theory was that Rafa could not possibly have enough left in the fuel tank to knock off a much fresher Federer. As Trump loves to say, "WRONG"!!!
    In conclusion, I firmly believe that any player on a given match can pull out a victory. In fact, I would be ecstatic if Fed won his 18th Grand Slam at the Australian Open in less than 12 hours from now. However, I just do not see the script changing between Rafa and Federer. I would love for this final to be a five setter but 3 or 4 sets is more realistic and look for Rafa to capture his 15th Grand Slam when this final/battle is over. (Believe me when I say that I would love to be flat out wrong regarding this match. I would love to eat crow or a straw hat),
    Good luck to all.

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Player Traits

Ace Summary: Received 7664 in last year, 12294 all time - Given 95 in last year, 1788 all time

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