dodorising

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  • Member SinceFebruary 10, 2017
  • LevelMember
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User Earnings (Quarter)

User Aces (Quarter)

Tip Summary: 66.67% (2/3) in last 3 months | 66.67% (2/3) in last year | 66.67% (2/3) all time
Earnings Summary: +$658.27 in last 3 months | +$658.27 in last year | +$658.27 all time
ROI Summary: +50.6% in last 3 months ($1,300.00 turnover) | +50.6% in last year ($1,300.00 turnover) | +50.6% all time ($1,300.00 turnover)

Your Insight
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  • Tommy Robredo (ESP) d. Sergiy Stakhovsky (UKR) 6-4 6-4
    at Marrakech ATP (MAR)
    Clay, Round of 32
    377 (377) Aces +$658 ROI:+50.6% 67% 
    Apr 10 2017 16:26:40
    Strange old match. Stak had 40-0 at 4-4 in the first and served back to back DFs losing 5 points in a row. Also made strange errors on BP chances. Then again at 4-4 in the second, changed what had been working for him. The court is in pretty terrible condition though.
  • Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) d. Denis Istomin (UZB) 7-6(7) 6-1
    at Rotterdam ATP (NED)
    Indoor Hard, Round of 16
    377 (377) Aces +$658 ROI:+50.6% 67% 
    Feb 16 2017 18:00:34
    This was originally a no bet for me, however I have come to change my mind.

    Istomin has been playing on an indoor hard court since his hard fought victories with Davis Cup. Now these by in no means were against quality opposition, quite the opposite. However the Istomin of old could have potentially not cared a great deal and lost those, however the pressure his had on him since beating Novak at the AO, his somewhat stood up to it.

    Yes, he was beaten by Dimi in the next round, but it wasn't from not trying. I'd like to go as far as saying he could be in his career best form if he maintains this momentum. I remember in his after game interview on court, he said *not an exact quote* "I feel sorry for Novak. I played unbelievable. It's good to see that I can show that I can match it with the best". At one point, it looked like he was getting quite emotional.

    Now, we look to his qualifying match against Bedene and whether he had foresight or not that he was receiving a LL spot who knows. However, he played lights out against Bedene for a set and a half in his round one match. He then dropped his level and was forced to play a tiebreak, which he eventually won (He was up a break early in the set and looked to be sailing then was down a break and managed to force a tiebreak).

    Now, why aren't I betting outright on him? Dimitrov himself is having a stellar breakout year. His new coach, Danny Vallverdu, seems to be doing wonders for him. He did of course win the title in his home country last week, however there were signs of the old Dimitrov there. He had a 5-1 lead in the second set of which Goffin managed to force back to 5-4 before succumbing.

    All in all, I think Istomin can keep it close enough here for a total games cover. 3/5 units.
  • Alexander Zverev (GER) d. Richard Gasquet (FRA) 7-6(4) 6-3
    at Montpellier ATP (FRA)
    Indoor Hard, Final
    377 (377) Aces +$658 ROI:+50.6% 67% 
    Feb 12 2017 15:22:12
    What a great match. A sign of things to come with a next generation star coming through nicely.

    Really excited what the future holds for Zverev. Comparing him to another next generation star in Kyrgios, they now just seem miles apart. Whilst its obviously very early in both their careers, and this is a 250 event and not a grand slam; the maturity of Zverev in stressful situations is getting better and better as are every other aspect of his game.

    His attitude and demeanor with his training and dedication to the sport could also teach Kyrgios a thing or two. Anyway, I digress. Great game and a tennis star with a bright future.
  • Alexander Zverev (GER) d. Richard Gasquet (FRA) 7-6(4) 6-3
    at Montpellier ATP (FRA)
    Indoor Hard, Final
    377 (377) Aces +$658 ROI:+50.6% 67% 
    Feb 12 2017 09:21:14
    This looks like it will be a great match. A couple of things stand out for me for both opponents though.

    Zverev has played a lot of tennis, games wise, over these past couple of weeks (which has been a factor previously mentioned by some in opposing him). Having played 2 matches at Davis Cup (with one going to five sets), and all 3 of his matches this week going 3 sets. Games wise, he has played 159 vs Gasquet's 91. Gasquet will certainly be the fresher of the 2 however with Richard, it often depends on his state of mind on the day, as opposed to fresh legs.

    However, for me, the quality of opponent that Zverev has defeated this week has been far superior then that of Gasquet. Paire (who gave the match away), De Schepper and Jaziri are all well under the quality, for me, then that of Zverev's opponents. These being Bedene, Chardy and Tsonga. The only cause for some concern with Zverev is that he lost against Darcis ($1.173 favourite) in the Davis Cup only last week.

    Stats wise for the tournament, Zverev is winning 78.8% of his first serves (to that of Richard's 70.9%), where both have shared similar success on their second serves.
    There is a clear advantage to Zverev in saving his BP's this week, and some in clutch circumstances, he holds the advantage saving 72.7% (to 62.5%).
    Gasquet has returned and won a lot more points (48.1% to 38.5%) and has a lower opponent hold percentage (54.5% to 75%), however again I believe this directly relates to the difference in opponents.

    I'm going to ride with Zverev in this one. The obvious key being able to keep his first service percentage high as well as not letting his emotions get the best of him (with many questionable line decisions going against him). Although, even with this, he managed to compose himself and win matches where he had issues with the line calls. Gasquet does have an excellent record at this tournament, but I do believe the youngster will grab the title.

    I was considering riding the total instead, as it does look to be another tight match with a lower total then the one offered yesterday for Zverev, however I'll stick with a head to head play.

    Sorry for the long review, new to the site. Trying to work through a winner. Good luck to everyone on both sides!
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Player Traits

Ace Summary: Received 377 in last year, 377 all time - Given 0 in last year, 0 all time

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