TennisInsight.com - MATCH PREVIEW - Robby Ginepri v Paul-Henri Mathieu

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Robby Ginepri: 7 tips ($170 staked)
Paul-Henri Mathieu: 10 tips ($220 staked)
No Value: 0

Jul 21 2008 21:49:16
Taylor_LFC
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Anyone watching this? Really is a poor match.

Jul 21 2008 20:19:30
Taylor_LFC
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I'm not Mathieu's biggest fan but I can't not back him after his performance against Capdeville. If he puts in a similar performance there is only one winner, but I am only going small because Ginepri is quite a half decent player when he turns up.

Jul 21 2008 20:09:44
AShrubb
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Jul 21 2008 19:56:59
edicinti
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Line moved from -165 yesterday to -145 today on Mathieu. Leads me to believe that Ginepri +135 is the play. Ginepri's 13-12 hardcourt record doesn't stand out, but Mathieu is only 14-11. The quality of Mathieu's losses has been much better: Nadal 3X, Tsonga, Roddick, Kiefer, Verdasco, Blake, and Murray. This compared to Ginepri's losses to Anderson, Spadea, Bogdanovic, Martin, Prpic, and Capdeville, most recently. He does have losses to Blake, Davydenko, Murray, and Wawrinka though. Despite the line movement, I'm still going with Mathieu. I think he's really a player on the rise, while Ginepri seems to be just an average player these days.

Jul 21 2008 16:40:45
teleqtrick
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I don't think Ginepri would play with an injury for the second time. He doesn't want to get embarrassed on his favorite surface AGAIN. He'd rather pull out of the tournament than play with an injury and getting blown away in another first round.

Jul 21 2008 16:37:25
rael_electrique (Mod)
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Any injury that caused him to serve so badly against Capdeville would never be healed in a few days. He served like he had torn rotator. That's if it was an injury.

Jul 21 2008 16:24:23
lilboi (Mod)
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This match is simple. If Ginepri is still injured, then he'll lose, if he isn't, on hardcourt he can beat PHM. Still unless someone can find out definitely whether or not Ginepri is still injured Ill be staying away

Jul 21 2008 16:24:05
rael_electrique (Mod)
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If Ginepri had a shoulder injury causing him to serve between 20-50%, why would anyone think Ginepri will come back strong in a matter of days. It doesn't figure. Either he had the worst serving day of his life, or he was badly injured. Either scenario doesn't bode well for this match or anyone with a large bet on Ginepri.

Jul 21 2008 16:18:32
FixedMatch
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I think Ginepri will win this, He may have had a shocker last week, but i have a gut feel that mathieu first match back on the hard stuff might need time to adapt , he hasnt played a hard court match in over 3 months, and Ginepri seems to pick up his game when playing on hard courts and the guy can really play on hard court when he is on a roll

Jul 21 2008 13:07:06
kane90
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Dont see ginepri having a chance after his last display

Jul 21 2008 12:43:40
philsta_01
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For some reason Mathieu has moved to 1.52 from 1.48 which astonishes me and am angry that i bet before the change. I cannot back Ginepri after his display against the ordinary Capdeville. Altough there were reports he was injured i still didnt like it. If he was really injured there then could be carried over into this tournament. On the other hand i really like Mathieu as a player and think that the hard courts suits his game. He will look to dominate the baseline rallys and come to the net when oppurtunities arise. So Mathieu here for me but not a big bet seeing the money pouring in for Ginepri.

Jul 21 2008 12:07:24
n3gative
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Jul 21 2008 12:00:37
koliopp
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I would give robby a chance here as he looked very well till his misteriuos display last time vs capdeville and I never trust Mathieu as 1) he is not in any kind of form and 2) mental thing in his head

Jul 21 2008 11:51:10
superduper
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Value Bet by Comparative.Excel.Program! - Stake 3/10

Jul 21 2008 10:14:25
mourarc
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Jul 21 2008 09:26:50
hibzo33
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Ginepri is largely underestimated today by all of you as far as i can see.....Paulo wasnt really shining at all either, Ginepri screwed me up against Capdeville but he was apparently injured....I expect him to come back strong

Jul 21 2008 08:13:08
ryan gwyer
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Jul 21 2008 06:37:58
ggheisman02
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Robby will cross the border and play extremely well on his born and bred hard courts.

Jul 21 2008 00:38:26
thedestroyer9 (Mod)
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Mathieu leads the h2h series 2-1 but one was a retirement and Ginepri's only win did come on this surface and in this part of the world against an albeit lower-ranked Frenchman back in 2006. Ginepri, however, has struggled on the hard courts for some time and is definitely out of favour with a lot of punters after his lacklustre effort against Capdeville at Indianapolis where it was clear things were wrong. The American has also been bundled out in R1 on 4 previous occasions here (to Nestor, Kuerten, Kim and Murray last year), needless to say he is pitted up against an opponent who is a big improver on hard courts when compared to earlier days. The Frenchman is in some OK form at present with 3 losses to Marin Cilic in that bizarre sequence of events, but gets a reprieve from the Croat here and will have the match on his racket. He has the heavier serve, a superior backhand, better movement and a higher work ethic with Ginepri's only chance at even a sniff here being to pepper Paul-Henri's forehand side which can crack under pressure due to its imperfect technique. Mathieu is also much less erratic when it comes to errors, and especially given recent circumstances he will feel much more confident in the longer rallies than will Ginepri who really has taken a downward plight in recent years. Mathieu is by no means a certainty, but at the juicy value and a chance at getting back into the top 20 with a good performance this week, his motivation and momentum should prove too much for Robby.

Jul 20 2008 23:36:39
d.carson (Mod)
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Ginepri was absolutely diabolical last time out against Capdeville and I doubt he will have too many followers here. Mathieu has suffered loss after loss this year (usually to Cilic of late) but has a great chance to get back to winning ways here. The pair of them serve well but Mathieu is more consistent from the back. Just generally the better player as the rankings would suggest. Good price as stated by Bunsen. Ginepri 6/4 Mathieu 8/13.

Jul 20 2008 16:44:41
Bunsen Burner
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Opposing Ginepri at current odds available - around 1.64 on PHM is an absolute gift. Ginepri won under 50% of service points against Capdeville in the 1st round of Indianappolis on monday and was virtually unable to hold serve --- stats actually got worse throughout the match (around 25% service points won by Ginepri in 2nd) suggesting that the rumoured shoulder injury was causing him more problems as the match wore on. Ginepri is quite clearly playing with an injury and if he turns up to play then this should be a straightfoward payday. I expect current odds of 1.64 to be closer to 1.3 before the off.